Sunday, August 2, 2009

Wait, A Strong Conclusion?

Well folks, there is a very interesting conclusion that has popped up (I am going through and re calculating all my conclusion tables to account for the injuries and this is the interesting one:

+/- Days of Rest yielded a 74 % regression rate for those pitchers that saw their scores go up 200 or more, which was followed by a 62 % regression rate for those between 100 and 199.

This is very interesting and that is a fairly sizable gap. Who are the pitchers prior to this season that qualified under this criteria? Check it out:

Doug Brocail: 5.87 ERA this season in 9 games, spent time on DL
Will Ohman: 60 day DL, 5.84 ERA this season.
Joe Smith: Spent time on DL, missing almost 2 months.

Looks like this high end of this criteria will continue to show regression even after this season. Now the question is, what did those pitchers that didn't regress in that time frame have to prevent it? Hopefully assigning a repetoire to each pitcher will help shine even more light on these criteria and that is the next step for me.

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